Politics2 days left
Will Lula win between 35% and 38% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$2.9K
171 trades
Smart Whales
23
of 60 traders
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Lula Vote Share?
5 MARKETS · $37.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Lula win less than 35% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
3¢−3¢$3.3K0/15Will Lula win less than 35% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election−3¢3¢
$3.3K0/15
Will Lula win between 35% and 38% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election←
1¢+6¢$2.9K1/14Will Lula win between 35% and 38% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election←+6¢1¢
$2.9K1/14
Will Lula win between 38% and 41% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
4¢+17¢$5.4K5/19Will Lula win between 38% and 41% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+17¢4¢
$5.4K5/19
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs22 NO
96%
96% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 44% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%
+7 new YES$22+17 new NO$1.2K
0 smart whales11 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $10 is directional: YES $5·NO $6YES Team
Total Invested
$5
Avg Win Rate
65.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$1(-11.3%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.2K
Avg Win Rate
81.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.4K(+117.1%)
Whales
22
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 49¢·683.3 shares
Invested
$332
Win Rate
86.9%
Position P&L
+$347
+$347INV $332 · WR 86.9%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 52¢·361.9 shares
Invested
$189
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
+$170
+$170INV $189 · WR 79.3%
C
Classic-Loggia🥉
Entry 50¢·211.2 shares
Invested
$106
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
+$104
+$104INV $106 · WR 59.4%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 35¢·268 shares
Invested
$94
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$172
+$172INV $94 · WR 89.0%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 50¢·160 shares
Invested
$80
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$79
+$79INV $80 · WR 88.7%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·154 shares
Invested
$77
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$76
+$76INV $77 · WR 88.1%
G
glm404.fund
Entry 50¢·142.9 shares
Invested
$71
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$70
+$70INV $71 · WR 85.8%
N
northdrawer
Entry 49¢·102.1 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$51
+$51INV $50 · WR 87.6%
G
god83743894
Entry 50¢·100 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
85.6%
Position P&L
+$49
+$49INV $50 · WR 85.6%
R
Radiant-Nonbeliever
Entry 50¢·81.2 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $41 · WR 59.4%
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