Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-04 House election by 20%-25%?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$996
55 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 44 traders
VA-04 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $22.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
0 YESvs12 NO
100%
100% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$0
Avg Win Rate
unknown
Aggregate P&L
—
Whales
0
No smart whales on YES
NO Team
Total Invested
$206
Avg Win Rate
84.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$73(+35.5%)
Whales
12
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 48¢·114 shares
Invested
$54
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$60
+$60INV $54 · WR 87.6%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 98¢·25.6 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $25 · WR 79.2%
P
plainfolder🥉
Entry 96¢·25 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $24 · WR 86.1%
L
lpgb
Entry 96¢·21 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $20 · WR 71.7%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 98¢·20 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $20 · WR 87.9%
T
Thorny-Parachute-Philanthropy
Entry 90¢·16 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $14 · WR 86.2%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 100¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $10 · WR 79.6%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 100¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $10 · WR 86.1%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 99¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $10 · WR 86.5%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 97¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $10 · WR 88.6%
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