Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-04 House election by 40%-45%?
YES Price
38¢
38% implied
NO Price
62¢
62% implied
Volume
$4.4K
193 trades
Smart Whales
17
of 85 traders
VA-04 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $22.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs13 NO
24%77%
77% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 97% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $76 is directional: YES $74·NO $3YES Team
Total Invested
$84
Avg Win Rate
72.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$1(-1.6%)
Whales
4
S
sweetj🥇
Entry 23¢·243.1 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $55 · WR 72.2%
L
liverpoolfc◆Proven🥈
Entry 92¢·20 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
81.5%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $18 · WR 81.5%
A
Anjun◆Proven🥉
Entry 31¢·19.7 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
58.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $6 · WR 58.4%
B
Baggy-Forehead-Consistency
Entry 31¢·15 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 62.1%
NO Team
Total Invested
$343
Avg Win Rate
84.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$75(-21.7%)
Whales
13
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 81¢·114 shares
Invested
$92
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $92 · WR 87.6%
Q
quietparcel🥈
Entry 97¢·75 shares
Invested
$73
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
$-26
$-26INV $73 · WR 88.5%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 69¢·64.9 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $45 · WR 79.2%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 72¢·40 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $29 · WR 89.0%
B
balthazar
Entry 75¢·30 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $23 · WR 71.9%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 76¢·25 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $19 · WR 88.6%
L
lpgb
Entry 76¢·21 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $16 · WR 71.7%
N
Negative-Bob-Vitro
Entry 96¢·16 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
81.6%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $15 · WR 81.6%
P
plainfolder
Entry 82¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $8 · WR 86.1%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 75¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $8 · WR 86.1%
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