Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-04 House election by 30%-35%?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$1.3K
75 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 51 traders
VA-04 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $22.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs10 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $3 is directional: YES $3·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$3
Avg Win Rate
71.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$2(-60.1%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$278
Avg Win Rate
83.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$25(+9.1%)
Whales
10
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 98¢·110 shares
Invested
$108
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $108 · WR 87.6%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 98¢·52.5 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $51 · WR 79.2%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 98¢·30 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $30 · WR 71.9%
G
god83743894
Entry 91¢·30 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $27 · WR 86.0%
C
C.PM
Entry 97¢·25 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
82.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $24 · WR 82.9%
N
northdrawer
Entry 99¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 87.5%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 98¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
—
—INV $10 · WR 86.1%
P
plainfolder
Entry 90¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 86.1%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 85¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 87.9%
L
lpgb
Entry 4¢·21 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $1 · WR 71.7%
Smart Whale Trades
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