Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-04 House election by 35%-40%?
YES Price
11¢
11% implied
NO Price
89¢
89% implied
Volume
$2.0K
103 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 61 traders
VA-04 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $22.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs10 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%
+1 new YES$0+1 new NO$13
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $44 is directional: YES $44·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$44
Avg Win Rate
72.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$18(-40.0%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$308
Avg Win Rate
85.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$13(+4.3%)
Whales
10
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 90¢·114 shares
Invested
$103
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $103 · WR 87.6%
S
smallreceipt🥈
Entry 96¢·85 shares
Invested
$81
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $81 · WR 88.6%
G
godblessme2026🥉
Entry 78¢·35.2 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $28 · WR 87.9%
B
balthazar
Entry 72¢·30 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $22 · WR 71.9%
E
e46m3
Entry 89¢·23.1 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $20 · WR 79.2%
N
northdrawer
Entry 81¢·20 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $16 · WR 87.5%
L
lpgb
Entry 76¢·21 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $16 · WR 71.7%
T
TheArtOfTACO
Entry 99¢·13.5 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
83.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $13 · WR 83.1%
C
C.PM
Entry 72¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
82.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $7 · WR 82.9%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 19¢·10 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $2 · WR 86.1%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 375ms