Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-03 House election by 45%-50%?
YES Price
55¢
55% implied
NO Price
45¢
45% implied
Volume
$5.9K
191 trades
Smart Whales
21
of 95 traders
VA-03 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $58.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs17 NO
19%81%
81% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $670 is directional: YES $670·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$670
Avg Win Rate
61.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$491(+73.3%)
Whales
4
L
longliveapples◆Proven🥇
Entry 83¢·318.9 shares
Invested
$264
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
$-103
$-103INV $264 · WR 61.5%
A
Analyse24ResultsBefore🥈
Entry 19¢·1,293.2 shares
Invested
$240
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
+$448
+$448INV $240 · WR 62.2%
B
Baggy-Forehead-Consistency🥉
Entry 28¢·515.4 shares
Invested
$144
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
+$139
+$139INV $144 · WR 62.1%
R
RayGuy
Entry 37¢·59 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $22 · WR 57.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$728
Avg Win Rate
83.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$289(-39.7%)
Whales
17
D
donthackme🥇
Entry 76¢·196.8 shares
Invested
$151
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
$-62
$-62INV $151 · WR 87.4%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 76¢·157.5 shares
Invested
$120
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-49
$-49INV $120 · WR 71.9%
Q
quietparcel🥉
Entry 75¢·135 shares
Invested
$102
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
$-41
$-41INV $102 · WR 88.5%
L
Lucerys
Entry 72¢·127.1 shares
Invested
$91
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-34
$-34INV $91 · WR 87.6%
P
plainfolder
Entry 82¢·80 shares
Invested
$65
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-29
$-29INV $65 · WR 86.1%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 77¢·50 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $38 · WR 79.6%
L
lpgb
Entry 76¢·40 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $31 · WR 71.7%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 70¢·40.6 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $28 · WR 86.1%
B
Bare-Earring
Entry 83¢·24.5 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
83.6%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $20 · WR 83.6%
A
alex20011
Entry 78¢·21.6 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
74.8%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $17 · WR 74.8%
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