Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-03 House election by 50%-55%?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$7.5K
245 trades
Smart Whales
23
of 107 traders
VA-03 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $58.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs20 NO
13%87%
87% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 44% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $295 is directional: YES $129·NO $166YES Team
Total Invested
$129
Avg Win Rate
61.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$112(-86.3%)
Whales
3
A
Analyse24ResultsBefore🥇
Entry 12¢·789.2 shares
Invested
$96
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
$-83
$-83INV $96 · WR 62.2%
B
Baggy-Forehead-Consistency🥈
Entry 13¢·200.3 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $27 · WR 62.1%
T
thanksforplayin🥉
Entry 29¢·21.4 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $6 · WR 55.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$878
Avg Win Rate
84.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$200(+22.7%)
Whales
20
T
TrangNgo🥇
Entry 96¢·172.3 shares
Invested
$165
Win Rate
92.0%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $165 · WR 92.0%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 81¢·158.6 shares
Invested
$129
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $129 · WR 71.9%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 78¢·147.8 shares
Invested
$115
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $115 · WR 87.4%
G
god83743894
Entry 79¢·135 shares
Invested
$107
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $107 · WR 86.0%
L
Lucerys
Entry 54¢·127.1 shares
Invested
$69
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$56
+$56INV $69 · WR 87.6%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 89¢·55 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $49 · WR 87.9%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 87¢·40 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $35 · WR 88.6%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 78¢·40.6 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $32 · WR 86.1%
L
lpgb
Entry 77¢·40 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $31 · WR 71.7%
E
e46m3
Entry 79¢·35.2 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $28 · WR 79.2%
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