Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-03 House election by 55% or more?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$5.9K
215 trades
Smart Whales
17
of 101 traders
VA-03 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $58.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs13 NO
24%77%
77% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $156 is directional: YES $156·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$156
Avg Win Rate
62.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$130(-83.8%)
Whales
4
A
Analyse24ResultsBefore🥇
Entry 14¢·963.1 shares
Invested
$133
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
$-113
$-113INV $133 · WR 62.2%
B
Baggy-Forehead-Consistency🥈
Entry 10¢·204.4 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $20 · WR 62.1%
J
johnashbough🥉
Entry 6¢·34.9 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 55.3%
R
RayGuy
Entry 8¢·1 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 57.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$621
Avg Win Rate
83.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$149(+24.0%)
Whales
13
D
donthackme🥇
Entry 80¢·148.8 shares
Invested
$119
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $119 · WR 87.4%
P
plainfolder🥈
Entry 80¢·145 shares
Invested
$116
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $116 · WR 86.1%
L
Lucerys🥉
Entry 72¢·127.1 shares
Invested
$91
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$34
+$34INV $91 · WR 87.6%
B
balthazar
Entry 80¢·100 shares
Invested
$80
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $80 · WR 71.9%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 81¢·55.2 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $45 · WR 88.6%
L
lpgb
Entry 95¢·40 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $38 · WR 71.7%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 84¢·40.6 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $34 · WR 86.1%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 78¢·40 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $31 · WR 88.5%
B
Bigggggggg
Entry 80¢·25 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $20 · WR 85.7%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 71¢·25 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $18 · WR 84.1%
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