Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-03 House election by 40%-45%?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$18.1K
439 trades
Smart Whales
20
of 121 traders
VA-03 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $58.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs16 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $71 is directional: YES $71·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$71
Avg Win Rate
62.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$67(-93.4%)
Whales
4
A
Analyse24ResultsBefore🥇
Entry 15¢·266.7 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $40 · WR 62.2%
B
Baggy-Forehead-Consistency🥈
Entry 14¢·200 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
$-26
$-26INV $28 · WR 62.1%
R
RayGuy🥉
Entry 8¢·39 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 57.9%
R
romanew-1-new
Entry 5¢·1.6 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
63.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 63.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$592
Avg Win Rate
82.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$128(+21.7%)
Whales
16
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 81¢·127.1 shares
Invested
$103
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $103 · WR 87.6%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 82¢·112.7 shares
Invested
$92
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $92 · WR 87.4%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 82¢·100 shares
Invested
$82
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $82 · WR 71.9%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 85¢·70 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $60 · WR 89.0%
M
melchior1248
Entry 77¢·58.6 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $45 · WR 70.0%
G
god83743894
Entry 85¢·40 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $34 · WR 86.0%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 79¢·40.6 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $32 · WR 86.1%
L
lpgb
Entry 74¢·40 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $30 · WR 71.7%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 86¢·25 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $22 · WR 84.1%
C
Chubby-Sideburns-Appetizer
Entry 86¢·24.5 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
81.7%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $21 · WR 81.7%
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