Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-08 House election by 12% or more?
YES Price
7¢
7% implied
NO Price
93¢
93% implied
Volume
$5.7K
198 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 78 traders
PA-08 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $33.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs11 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 7¢
YES 21%NO 79%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 7¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 16% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $398 is directional: YES $62·NO $336YES Team
Total Invested
$63
Avg Win Rate
58.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$30(-46.8%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$908
Avg Win Rate
64.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$87(+9.6%)
Whales
11
P
probability◆Proven🥇
Entry 100¢·369.7 shares
Invested
$369
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-26
$-26INV $369 · WR 61.2%
C
cloverpmq2🥈
Entry 77¢·436.3 shares
Invested
$336
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$51
+$51INV $336 · WR 56.4%
L
Lucerys🥉
Entry 80¢·85 shares
Invested
$68
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $68 · WR 87.7%
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven
Entry 53¢·88.8 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
78.3%
Position P&L
+$35
+$35INV $47 · WR 78.3%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 80¢·40 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $32 · WR 86.6%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 78¢·40 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $31 · WR 86.1%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 80¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $8 · WR 79.6%
L
Lonely-Smog
Entry 78¢·8.5 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
82.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $7 · WR 82.0%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 90¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 66.8%
W
wuwuwuwuwu11hedged
Entry 71¢·4.3 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$3
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $3 · WR 85.9%
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