Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-08 House election by 9%-12%?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$887
29 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 30 traders
PA-08 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $33.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs9 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 0.3¢
YES 10%NO 90%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 0.3¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $8 is directional: YES $8·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$8
Avg Win Rate
55.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$7(-91.3%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$541
Avg Win Rate
70.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$89(+16.5%)
Whales
9
P
probability◆Proven🥇
Entry 100¢·341.2 shares
Invested
$341
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $341 · WR 61.2%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 100¢·85 shares
Invested
$85
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $85 · WR 87.7%
P
plainfolder🥉
Entry 100¢·40 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $40 · WR 86.1%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 99¢·40 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $40 · WR 86.1%
V
Vacant-Shape
Entry 95¢·16.8 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
78.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $16 · WR 78.8%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 100¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $10 · WR 79.6%
C
0xc34fc382...
Entry 99¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
74.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 74.3%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 95¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 66.8%
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven
Entry 0¢·88.8 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
78.3%
Position P&L
+$88
+$88INV $0 · WR 78.3%
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