Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-08 House election by 6%-9%?
YES Price
48¢
48% implied
NO Price
52¢
52% implied
Volume
$4.6K
154 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 70 traders
PA-08 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $33.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs8 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 48¢
YES 33%NO 67%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 48¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 90% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $98 is directional: YES $88·NO $10YES Team
Total Invested
$88
Avg Win Rate
59.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$280(+319.1%)
Whales
4
R
RayGuy🥇
Entry 29¢·140 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $41 · WR 55.9%
P
probability◆Proven🥈
Entry 8¢·366.4 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
+$148
+$148INV $28 · WR 61.2%
T
thanksforplayin🥉
Entry 6¢·177.1 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$74
+$74INV $11 · WR 55.9%
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven
Entry 8¢·88.8 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
78.3%
Position P&L
+$32
+$32INV $7 · WR 78.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$193
Avg Win Rate
84.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$82(-42.5%)
Whales
8
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 92¢·85 shares
Invested
$78
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-34
$-34INV $78 · WR 87.7%
N
northdrawer🥈
Entry 91¢·40 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $36 · WR 87.5%
Q
qwen300.fund🥉
Entry 87¢·40 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $35 · WR 86.1%
P
Pertinent-Nudge-Rancher
Entry 93¢·16.8 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
79.8%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $16 · WR 79.8%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 83¢·12 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
68.3%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $10 · WR 68.3%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 92¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $9 · WR 79.6%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 92¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $5 · WR 66.8%
M
mapleggg
Entry 87¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $4 · WR 85.7%
Smart Whale Trades
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