Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-08 House election by 9%-12%?
YES Price
35¢
35% implied
NO Price
65¢
65% implied
Volume
$5.8K
200 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 82 traders
PA-08 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $33.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs7 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 35¢
YES 36%NO 64%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 35¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $71 is directional: YES $71·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$71
Avg Win Rate
60.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$162(+229.8%)
Whales
4
P
probability◆Proven🥇
Entry 8¢·366.4 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
+$98
+$98INV $28 · WR 61.2%
R
RayGuy🥈
Entry 17¢·140 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $23 · WR 55.9%
T
thanksforplayin🥉
Entry 29¢·40 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $12 · WR 55.9%
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven
Entry 8¢·88.8 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
78.3%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $7 · WR 78.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$171
Avg Win Rate
86.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$42(-24.6%)
Whales
7
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 88¢·85 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $75 · WR 87.7%
G
graynotebook19🥈
Entry 88¢·40 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $35 · WR 89.0%
Q
qwen300.fund🥉
Entry 80¢·40 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $32 · WR 86.1%
S
Spectacular-Ladder-Ant
Entry 90¢·16.8 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $15 · WR 79.3%
M
mapleggg
Entry 91¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 85.7%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 91¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 66.8%
E
e46m3
Entry 89¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $4 · WR 79.2%
Smart Whale Trades
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