Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-08 House election by 3%-6%?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$5.3K
137 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 72 traders
PA-08 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $33.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs10 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 2¢
YES 29%NO 71%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 2¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $29 is directional: YES $29·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$29
Avg Win Rate
63.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$25(-85.3%)
Whales
4
R
Rotten-Paranoia🥇
Entry 18¢·71.6 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $13 · WR 57.8%
R
RayGuy🥈
Entry 8¢·100 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $8 · WR 55.9%
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven🥉
Entry 8¢·88.8 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
78.3%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $7 · WR 78.3%
W
wuwuwuwuwu11hedged
Entry 3¢·28 shares·also $20 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 85.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$552
Avg Win Rate
69.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$35(+6.3%)
Whales
10
P
probability◆Proven🥇
Entry 100¢·366.4 shares
Invested
$366
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $366 · WR 61.2%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 82¢·85 shares
Invested
$69
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $69 · WR 87.7%
Q
qwen300.fund🥉
Entry 82¢·40 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $33 · WR 86.1%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 82¢·40 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $33 · WR 86.6%
W
wuwuwuwuwu11hedged
Entry 72¢·28 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$20
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $20 · WR 85.9%
T
thanksforplayin
Entry 84¢·11.9 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $10 · WR 55.9%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 82¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $8 · WR 79.6%
M
mapleggg
Entry 96¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 85.7%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 86¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 66.8%
E
e46m3
Entry 83¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 79.2%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 352ms