Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-01 House election by 50%-55%?
YES Price
4¢
4% implied
NO Price
96¢
96% implied
Volume
$719
40 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 33 traders
KY-01 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $21.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs9 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 4¢
YES 18%NO 82%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 4¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 8% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $146 is directional: YES $12·NO $135YES Team
Total Invested
$12
Avg Win Rate
57.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$8(-70.4%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$301
Avg Win Rate
82.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$7(+2.4%)
Whales
9
L
liverpoolfc◆Proven🥇
Entry 96¢·120 shares
Invested
$116
Win Rate
81.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $116 · WR 81.5%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 98¢·57.4 shares
Invested
$56
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $56 · WR 87.7%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 92¢·47 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $43 · WR 79.2%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 87¢·40 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $35 · WR 88.6%
M
Malganis
Entry 96¢·20 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
73.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $19 · WR 73.3%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 99¢·13.1 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $13 · WR 86.1%
P
plainfolder
Entry 99¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 86.1%
M
mapleggg
Entry 100¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 85.7%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 90¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 66.8%
Smart Whale Trades
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