Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-01 House election by 45%-50%?
YES Price
5¢
5% implied
NO Price
95¢
95% implied
Volume
$4.3K
125 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 63 traders
KY-01 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $21.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs11 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 5¢
YES 27%NO 73%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 5¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 11% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $705 is directional: YES $81·NO $625YES Team
Total Invested
$81
Avg Win Rate
60.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$3(+4.0%)
Whales
4
F
fkpa🥇
Entry 15¢·420.5 shares
Invested
$62
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-42
$-42INV $62 · WR 59.6%
R
RayGuy🥈
Entry 8¢·128 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$34
+$34INV $10 · WR 55.9%
S
sweetj🥉
Entry 14¢·40 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $6 · WR 71.3%
I
i2dt◆Proven
Entry 21¢·13.7 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
73.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $3 · WR 73.0%
NO Team
Total Invested
$783
Avg Win Rate
79.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$40(+5.2%)
Whales
11
B
Baggy-Forehead-Consistency🥇
Entry 80¢·374.9 shares
Invested
$299
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
+$56
+$56INV $299 · WR 65.9%
T
TrangNgo🥈
Entry 98¢·253.9 shares
Invested
$249
Win Rate
92.1%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $249 · WR 92.1%
L
liverpoolfc◆Proven🥉
Entry 95¢·81 shares
Invested
$77
Win Rate
81.5%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $77 · WR 81.5%
L
Lucerys
Entry 83¢·57.4 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $47 · WR 87.7%
E
e46m3
Entry 93¢·44.6 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $41 · WR 79.2%
G
god83743894
Entry 88¢·40 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $35 · WR 86.0%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 74¢·13.1 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $10 · WR 86.1%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 89¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 89.0%
C
Clever-Catalysis
Entry 92¢·7.9 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
84.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $7 · WR 84.2%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 88¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 66.8%
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