Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-01 House election by 25%-30%?
YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$920
47 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 28 traders · 1 on both sides
KY-01 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $21.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs8 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 3¢
YES 20%NO 80%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 3¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$2 of $15 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $12·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$13
Avg Win Rate
61.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$8(-57.4%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$164
Avg Win Rate
84.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$8(+4.7%)
Whales
8
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 91¢·57.4 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $52 · WR 87.7%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 94¢·44.6 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $42 · WR 79.2%
G
graynotebook19🥉
Entry 96¢·40 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $39 · WR 89.0%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 92¢·13.1 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $12 · WR 86.1%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 91¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 87.9%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 96¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 66.8%
C
0xc34fc382...
Entry 94¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
74.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 74.3%
R
RayGuyhedged
Entry 97¢·1.2 shares·also $6 on YES
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
—
—INV $1 · WR 55.9%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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