Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-01 House election by 40%-45%?
YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$3.9K
117 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 57 traders · 1 on both sides
KY-01 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $21.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs8 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 3¢
YES 27%NO 73%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 3¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 16% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$2 of $56 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $8·NO $45YES Team
Total Invested
$10
Avg Win Rate
64.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$4(-34.5%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$134
Avg Win Rate
79.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$44(+33.1%)
Whales
8
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 75¢·57.4 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $43 · WR 87.7%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 77¢·35 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $27 · WR 79.2%
T
thanksforplayin🥉
Entry 65¢·38.4 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $25 · WR 55.9%
P
puskin
Entry 73¢·27.4 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
91.7%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $20 · WR 91.7%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 71¢·13.1 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $9 · WR 86.1%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 91¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 66.8%
M
mapleggg
Entry 71¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 85.7%
R
RayGuyhedged
Entry 95¢·1.2 shares·also $4 on YES
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 55.9%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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