Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas gubernatorial election by 5%-10%?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$4.5K
140 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 72 traders
Arkansas Governor Election Margin of Victory
9 MARKETS · $34.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs10 NO
9%91%
91% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $9 is directional: YES $9·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$9
Avg Win Rate
56.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$8(-88.5%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$195
Avg Win Rate
85.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$15(+7.7%)
Whales
10
G
godblessme2026🥇
Entry 95¢·70 shares
Invested
$67
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $67 · WR 87.9%
G
graynotebook19🥈
Entry 91¢·40 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $36 · WR 89.0%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 91¢·20 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $18 · WR 79.2%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 91¢·20 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $18 · WR 86.1%
B
balthazar
Entry 100¢·13.2 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $13 · WR 72.0%
L
Lucerys
Entry 92¢·12.3 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $11 · WR 87.6%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 91¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 88.5%
G
god83743894
Entry 91¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 86.0%
N
northdrawer
Entry 73¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $7 · WR 87.6%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 93¢·6 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $6 · WR 66.6%
Smart Whale Trades
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