Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?
YES Price
46¢
46% implied
NO Price
54¢
54% implied
Volume
$3.3K
192 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 73 traders
Arkansas Governor Election Margin of Victory
9 MARKETS · $34.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs11 NO
8%92%
92% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 60%· net of hedges
+4 new YES$268+8 new NO$233
$333 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $13 is directional: YES $13·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$13
Avg Win Rate
74.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$49(+366.8%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$206
Avg Win Rate
85.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$34(+16.7%)
Whales
11
S
smallreceipt🥇
Entry 50¢·100 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $50 · WR 88.9%
Q
quietparcel🥈
Entry 50¢·60 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $30 · WR 88.7%
C
Conscious-Gaffer-Tortoise🥉
Entry 50¢·55.3 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
81.3%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $28 · WR 81.3%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·40.1 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $20 · WR 79.6%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $20 · WR 86.2%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 80¢·20 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $16 · WR 89.2%
N
northdrawer
Entry 25¢·50 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $12 · WR 87.7%
L
Lucerys
Entry 50¢·24.6 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $12 · WR 88.0%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $10 · WR 88.2%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 50¢·12 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $6 · WR 66.6%
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