Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?
YES Price
46¢
46% implied
NO Price
54¢
54% implied
Volume
$4.7K
198 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 86 traders
Arkansas Governor Election Margin of Victory
9 MARKETS · $34.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs11 NO
8%92%
92% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 17% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 82%
+4 new YES$7+1 new NO$30
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $19 is directional: YES $3·NO $16YES Team
Total Invested
$3
Avg Win Rate
55.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$3(+84.2%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$211
Avg Win Rate
83.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$19(-8.8%)
Whales
11
G
godblessme2026🥇
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $40 · WR 88.2%
Q
qwen300.fund🥈
Entry 73¢·40 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $29 · WR 86.2%
N
northdrawer🥉
Entry 73¢·40 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $29 · WR 87.7%
L
Late-Squirrel-Mecca
Entry 50¢·55.5 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
72.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $28 · WR 72.5%
G
god83743894
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $20 · WR 86.1%
L
Lucerys
Entry 68¢·24.6 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $17 · WR 88.0%
A
aliiz
Entry 74¢·21 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $16 · WR 64.9%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 74¢·20 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $15 · WR 87.0%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 72¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $7 · WR 88.9%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 50¢·12 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $6 · WR 66.6%
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