Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?
YES Price
46¢
46% implied
NO Price
54¢
54% implied
Volume
$9.1K
382 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 110 traders
Arkansas Governor Election Margin of Victory
9 MARKETS · $34.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs13 NO
13%87%
87% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 63%· net of hedges
+7 new YES$42+3 new NO$72
$1 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
1 smart whale2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $18 is directional: YES $18·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$29
Avg Win Rate
60.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$20(-69.0%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$282
Avg Win Rate
84.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$65(-23.2%)
Whales
13
N
northdrawer🥇
Entry 77¢·80 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $61 · WR 87.7%
Q
qwen300.fund🥈
Entry 80¢·40 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $32 · WR 86.2%
H
haveagoodday🥉
Entry 50¢·60 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $30 · WR 87.0%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 99¢·30 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $30 · WR 88.9%
C
Conscious-Gaffer-Tortoise
Entry 76¢·36 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
81.3%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $27 · WR 81.3%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $20 · WR 89.2%
M
melchior1248
Entry 98¢·20 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $20 · WR 69.8%
E
e46m3
Entry 73¢·24 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $18 · WR 79.6%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 79¢·20 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $16 · WR 88.2%
L
Lucerys
Entry 62¢·18.3 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $11 · WR 88.0%
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