Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?
YES Price
7¢
7% implied
NO Price
93¢
93% implied
Volume
$5.7K
266 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 108 traders
Arkansas Governor Election Margin of Victory
9 MARKETS · $34.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs11 NO
8%92%
92% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$16
Avg Win Rate
56.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$14(-90.7%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$153
Avg Win Rate
82.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$48(+31.1%)
Whales
11
P
plainfolder🥇
Entry 69¢·60 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $42 · WR 86.1%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 100¢·20 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $20 · WR 72.0%
S
smallreceipt🥉
Entry 64¢·30 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $19 · WR 88.7%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 75¢·20 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $15 · WR 88.5%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 67¢·20 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $13 · WR 86.1%
L
Late-Squirrel-Mecca
Entry 73¢·17.9 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $13 · WR 72.2%
D
Defensive-Attachment
Entry 72¢·18 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
81.4%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $13 · WR 81.4%
L
Lucerys
Entry 69¢·12.3 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $8 · WR 87.6%
E
e46m3
Entry 74¢·10.9 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $8 · WR 79.2%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 19¢·6 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $1 · WR 66.6%
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