Politics13 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 0%-3%?
YES Price
33¢
33% implied
NO Price
67¢
67% implied
Volume
$20.0K
305 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 111 traders
Iowa Senate Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $59.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs12 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 87%· net of hedges
+25 new YES$1.9K+56 new NO$7.6K
$1.7K of this was bought on both sides by the same 23 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales12 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $8 is directional: YES $8·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$8
Avg Win Rate
76.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$20(+267.1%)
Whales
4
D
donthackme🥇
Entry 8¢·34.2 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $3 · WR 87.6%
I
i2dt◆Proven🥈
Entry 11¢·20 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $2 · WR 70.0%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 8¢·16 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $1 · WR 79.6%
P
Pure-Eyeliner
Entry 8¢·14 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $1 · WR 56.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$536
Avg Win Rate
73.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$26(-4.9%)
Whales
12
R
RememberAmalek◆Proven🥇
Entry 71¢·250 shares
Invested
$178
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $178 · WR 64.4%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 70¢·216 shares
Invested
$151
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $151 · WR 72.1%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥉
Entry 72¢·103 shares
Invested
$74
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $74 · WR 85.9%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 75¢·76 shares
Invested
$57
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $57 · WR 86.6%
N
northdrawer
Entry 70¢·40 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $28 · WR 87.7%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 50¢·20.8 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $10 · WR 88.7%
G
god83743894
Entry 72¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $7 · WR 85.9%
S
Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat
Entry 68¢·9.2 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $6 · WR 59.9%
C
Comfortable-Sandwich
Entry 68¢·9.1 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $6 · WR 59.4%
H
Hasty-Worker
Entry 68¢·9.1 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $6 · WR 59.9%
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