Politics13 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 12% or more?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$3.8K
143 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 53 traders
Iowa Senate Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $59.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs11 NO
27%73%
73% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 98% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%
+19 new YES$33+16 new NO$1.4K
0 smart whales11 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $34 is directional: YES $33·NO $1YES Team
Total Invested
$33
Avg Win Rate
69.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$29(-85.4%)
Whales
4
R
RememberAmalek◆Proven🥇
Entry 8¢·250 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $21 · WR 64.4%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 7¢·116.6 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $9 · WR 79.6%
S
sweetj🥉
Entry 1¢·284.9 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
74.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $4 · WR 74.9%
D
donthackme
Entry 8¢·6 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 87.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$589
Avg Win Rate
78.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$46(+7.8%)
Whales
11
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 100¢·216 shares
Invested
$215
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $215 · WR 72.1%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 99¢·103 shares
Invested
$102
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $102 · WR 85.9%
G
god83743894🥉
Entry 100¢·95 shares
Invested
$95
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $95 · WR 85.9%
S
Shallow-Diadem
Entry 100¢·42.5 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $42 · WR 59.5%
N
northdrawer
Entry 80¢·52 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $42 · WR 87.7%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 50¢·76.4 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$38
+$38INV $38 · WR 88.7%
P
plainfolder
Entry 100¢·28 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $28 · WR 86.1%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 100¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 86.6%
S
Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat
Entry 100¢·9.1 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $9 · WR 59.9%
C
Comfortable-Sandwich
Entry 98¢·7.2 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $7 · WR 59.4%
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