Politics13 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 9%-12%?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$3.5K
127 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 51 traders · 1 on both sides
Iowa Senate Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $59.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs7 NO
46%54%
54% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 13% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 97%
+13 new YES$43+14 new NO$1.3K
0 smart whales9 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$32 of $307 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $37·NO $239YES Team
Total Invested
$52
Avg Win Rate
72.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$49(-92.6%)
Whales
6
R
RememberAmalek🥇hedged
Entry 8¢·191.7 shares·also $255 on NO
Invested
$16
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $16 · WR 64.4%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 8¢·133.8 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $11 · WR 79.6%
S
sweetj🥉
Entry 4¢·268.9 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
74.9%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $10 · WR 74.9%
D
donthackme
Entry 8¢·73.5 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $6 · WR 87.6%
P
Pure-Eyeliner
Entry 8¢·58 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 · WR 56.8%
B
balthazar
Entry 8¢·54.9 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $5 · WR 72.1%
NO Team
Total Invested
$454
Avg Win Rate
74.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$108(+23.7%)
Whales
7
R
RememberAmalek🥇hedged
Entry 96¢·264.9 shares·also $16 on YES
Invested
$255
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $255 · WR 64.4%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 50¢·103 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$51
+$51INV $51 · WR 85.9%
H
haveagoodday🥉
Entry 99¢·42 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $42 · WR 86.6%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·76 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$38
+$38INV $38 · WR 88.1%
N
northdrawer
Entry 100¢·28 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $28 · WR 87.7%
P
plainfolder
Entry 67¢·30 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $20 · WR 86.1%
G
god83743894
Entry 100¢·20 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $20 · WR 85.9%
Smart Whale Trades
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