Politics13 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 6%-9%?
YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$4.8K
185 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 69 traders
Iowa Senate Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $59.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs11 NO
27%73%
73% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 99% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 97%· net of hedges
+15 new YES$45+19 new NO$1.6K
$2 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
0 smart whales10 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $51 is directional: YES $50·NO $1YES Team
Total Invested
$50
Avg Win Rate
74.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$35(-69.9%)
Whales
4
S
sweetj🥇
Entry 11¢·248.2 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
74.9%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $28 · WR 74.9%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 8¢·216 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $18 · WR 72.1%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 8¢·25.6 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 79.6%
D
donthackme
Entry 8¢·19.4 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 87.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$558
Avg Win Rate
75.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$331(+59.4%)
Whales
11
R
RememberAmalek◆Proven🥇
Entry 50¢·500 shares
Invested
$250
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
+$236
+$236INV $250 · WR 64.4%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 98¢·103 shares
Invested
$101
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $101 · WR 85.9%
G
graynotebook19🥉
Entry 67¢·116 shares
Invested
$78
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$35
+$35INV $78 · WR 89.3%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 82¢·60.8 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $50 · WR 88.7%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 100¢·25 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $25 · WR 89.0%
P
plainfolder
Entry 100¢·20 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $20 · WR 86.1%
R
Radiant-Nonbeliever
Entry 100¢·14.3 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $14 · WR 59.7%
S
Shallow-Diadem
Entry 99¢·9.1 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $9 · WR 59.5%
N
Negative-Bob-Vitro
Entry 50¢·16 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
80.2%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $8 · WR 80.2%
T
TenPinBowler
Entry 4¢·50 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
88.3%
Position P&L
+$47
+$47INV $2 · WR 88.3%
Showing top 10 of 11
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 1131ms