Politics13 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 3%-6%?
YES Price
16¢
16% implied
NO Price
84¢
84% implied
Volume
$8.0K
238 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 94 traders
Iowa Senate Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $59.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
0 YESvs16 NO
100%
100% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 87%· net of hedges
+21 new YES$443+30 new NO$2.0K
$332 of this was bought on both sides by the same 11 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales12 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $17 is directional: YES $0·NO $17YES Team
Total Invested
$0
Avg Win Rate
unknown
Aggregate P&L
—
Whales
0
No smart whales on YES
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.4K
Avg Win Rate
77.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$201(+14.8%)
Whales
16
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 65¢·784 shares
Invested
$511
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$148
+$148INV $511 · WR 79.6%
R
RememberAmalek◆Proven🥈
Entry 80¢·250 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $200 · WR 64.4%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 80¢·204.6 shares
Invested
$163
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $163 · WR 87.6%
M
melchior1248
Entry 80¢·116.2 shares
Invested
$93
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $93 · WR 69.4%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 79¢·103 shares
Invested
$82
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $82 · WR 85.9%
B
balthazar
Entry 80¢·99.8 shares
Invested
$80
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $80 · WR 72.1%
G
god83743894
Entry 81¢·60 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $49 · WR 85.9%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 81¢·58 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $47 · WR 86.6%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 79¢·52.8 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $42 · WR 88.7%
H
Hasty-Worker
Entry 80¢·35.3 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $28 · WR 59.9%
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