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Politics25 days left

Will the Iowa 2026 Senate race be within 5%?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
71ยข
71% implied
NO Price
29ยข
29% implied
Volume
$7.7K
305 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 81 traders

Which Senate races will be within 5%?

18 MARKETS ยท $95.1K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

9 YESvs2 NO
82%18%
82% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 89% YES by dollars ยท 6 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 53%ยท net of hedges
+3 new YES$164+9 new NO$148
$22 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers โ€” left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides โ€” all $719 is directional: YES $643ยทNO $76
YES Team
Total Invested
$1.3K
Avg Win Rate
65.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$184(+14.7%)
Whales
9
B
bernardbulletinProven๐Ÿฅ‡
Entry 65ยขยท499.8 shares
+$29INV $325 ยท WR 69.5%
K
KiernanMeisterProven๐Ÿฅˆ
Entry 41ยขยท746 shares
+$226INV $303 ยท WR 63.4%
P
PavtheGreat๐Ÿฅ‰
Entry 64ยขยท450 shares
+$26INV $287 ยท WR 62.6%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBillyhedged
Entry 117ยขยท196.8 sharesยทalso $121 on NO
$-91INV $231 ยท WR 57.7%
1
123f18
Entry 78ยขยท100 shares
$-7INV $78 ยท WR 90.9%
V
Viewbot
Entry 66ยขยท16.9 shares
+$1INV $11 ยท WR 74.6%
S
Spherical-FringeProven
Entry 68ยขยท14.9 shares
+$0INV $10 ยท WR 65.5%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 69ยขยท9.6 shares
+$0INV $7 ยท WR 68.3%
P
phcrux1
Entry 69ยขยท4.4 shares
+$0INV $3 ยท WR 57.8%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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