Politics25 days left

Will the Virginia 2026 Senate race be within 5%?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

7¢

7% implied

NO Price

93¢

93% implied

Volume

$2.3K

106 trades

Smart Whales

of 41 traders

Which Senate races will be within 5%?

18 MARKETS · $95.1K MATCHED

Smart Money

the Alaska 2026 Senate race

58¢−1¢$3.9K8/6

the Alaska 2026 Senate race−1¢58¢

$3.9K8/6

the Colorado 2026 Senate race

3¢−3¢$2.6K0/2

the Colorado 2026 Senate race−3¢3¢

$2.6K0/2

the Florida Special 2026 Senate race

39¢−3¢$5.9K5/9

the Florida Special 2026 Senate race−3¢39¢

$5.9K5/9

the Georgia 2026 Senate race

22¢−11¢$4.1K1/8

the Georgia 2026 Senate race−11¢22¢

$4.1K1/8

the Iowa 2026 Senate race

71¢+4¢$7.7K9/3

the Iowa 2026 Senate race+4¢71¢

$7.7K9/3

the Kansas 2026 Senate race

65¢−2¢$2.3K5/3

the Kansas 2026 Senate race−2¢65¢

$2.3K5/3

the Maine 2026 Senate race

62¢−19¢$2.1K3/4

the Maine 2026 Senate race−19¢62¢

$2.1K3/4

the Michigan 2026 Senate race

60¢−4¢$4.6K5/4

the Michigan 2026 Senate race−4¢60¢

$4.6K5/4

the Minnesota 2026 Senate race

24¢+15¢$11.8K7/11

the Minnesota 2026 Senate race+15¢24¢

$11.8K7/11

the Montana 2026 Senate race

14¢+53¢$3.4K2/1

the Montana 2026 Senate race+53¢14¢

$3.4K2/1

the Nebraska 2026 Senate race

65¢−15¢$4.9K3/3

the Nebraska 2026 Senate race−15¢65¢

$4.9K3/3

the New Hampshire 2026 Senate race

33¢−8¢$2.9K1/3

the New Hampshire 2026 Senate race−8¢33¢

$2.9K1/3

the New Mexico 2026 Senate race

8¢+22¢$7.7K3/7

the New Mexico 2026 Senate race+22¢8¢

$7.7K3/7

the North Carolina 2026 Senate race

17¢+33¢$7.7K6/6

the North Carolina 2026 Senate race+33¢17¢

$7.7K6/6

the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race

63¢+12¢$7.4K6/2

the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race+12¢63¢

$7.4K6/2

the South Carolina 2026 Senate race

56¢−6¢$4551/1

the South Carolina 2026 Senate race−6¢56¢

$4551/1

the Texas 2026 Senate race

65¢+3¢$13.3K13/6

the Texas 2026 Senate race+3¢65¢

$13.3K13/6

the Virginia 2026 Senate race←

7¢+60¢$2.3K2/1

the Virginia 2026 Senate race←+60¢7¢

$2.3K2/1

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Smart Money Consensus

2 YESvs1 NO

67%33%

67% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 94%· net of hedges

+2 new YES$5+3 new NO$55

$3 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $1 is directional: YES $1·NO $0

YES Team

Total Invested

Avg Win Rate

62.7%

Aggregate P&L

+$8(+121.3%)

Whales

KiernanMeister🥇hedged

Entry 4¢·144.1 shares·also $382 on NO

NO Team

Total Invested

$382

Avg Win Rate

63.4%

Aggregate P&L

+$93(+24.2%)

Whales

KiernanMeister🥇hedged

Entry 75¢·507.6 shares·also $6 on YES

+$93INV $382 · WR 63.4%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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