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Politics24 days left

Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
71¢
71% implied
NO Price
29¢
29% implied
Volume
$13.4K
378 trades
Smart Whales
19
of 111 traders

Which Senate races will be within 5%?

18 MARKETS · $95.9K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

13 YESvs6 NO
68%32%
68% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 90% YES by dollars · 10 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 83%· net of hedges
+3 new YES$119+6 new NO$30
$13 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $4.0K is directional: YES $3.6K·NO $386
YES Team
Total Invested
$3.7K
Avg Win Rate
65.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$489(-13.3%)
Whales
13
S
SnowLover7Proven🥇
Entry 78¢·3,262.4 shares
$-390INV $2.6K · WR 65.0%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor🥈
Entry 81¢·600 shares
$-87INV $486 · WR 70.4%
3
300PS🥉
Entry 81¢·200 shares
$-11INV $162 · WR 56.6%
D
Dondigidin
Entry 80¢·200 shares
$-9INV $160 · WR 64.3%
A
0xabb9d267...
Entry 85¢·94.4 shares
$-9INV $81 · WR 63.8%
K
KiernanMeisterProven
Entry 71¢·90 shares
—INV $64 · WR 63.4%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 81¢·74.3 shares
$-4INV $60 · WR 68.2%
V
Viewbot
Entry 76¢·54.9 shares
$-0INV $42 · WR 74.6%
K
KimchiCapitalProven
Entry 41¢·94.6 shares
+$24INV $39 · WR 79.3%
S
StormRazer
Entry 85¢·10 shares
$-1INV $8 · WR 59.4%
Showing top 10 of 13

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 68% YES: the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%