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Geopolitics89 days left

Iran full airspace closure by December 31?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
17¢
17% implied
NO Price
83¢
83% implied
Volume
$383.2K
4,554 trades
Smart Whales
120
of 522 traders · 3 on both sides

Iran full airspace closure by...?

2 MARKETS · $487.1K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

58 YESvs65 NO
47%53%
53% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 13% YES by dollars · 32 YES vs 32 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 82%· net of hedges
+21 new YES$882+17 new NO$3.4K
$406 of this was bought on both sides by the same 8 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$350 of $50.4K is hedged across different prices by 3 wallets. True directional: YES $6.6K·NO $43.4K
YES Team
Total Invested
$29.8K
Avg Win Rate
70.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$16.7K(-56.2%)
Whales
58
G
GollumGekkoProven🥇
Entry 81¢·13,613 shares
$-8749INV $11.1K · WR 75.9%
H
Hossein-mProven🥈
Entry 38¢·8,000 shares
$-1607INV $3.0K · WR 78.9%
J
Jep-G🥉hedged
Entry 69¢·3,926.3 shares·also $991 on NO
$-2054INV $2.7K · WR 57.0%
M
MEPPhedged
Entry 73¢·3,647.6 shares·also $887 on NO
$-2028INV $2.6K · WR 64.2%
W
whighedged
Entry 89¢·1,627.2 shares·also $494 on NO
$-1170INV $1.4K · WR 63.0%
D
DerDonProven
Entry 22¢·3,924 shares
$-159INV $846 · WR 56.6%
T
Tenebrus7Proven
Entry 25¢·3,083.6 shares
$-230INV $770 · WR 74.2%
P
paddaa
Entry 26¢·2,302.5 shares
$-162INV $588 · WR 61.1%
M
Mithrandir.
Entry 33¢·950 shares
$-146INV $312 · WR 70.6%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor
Entry 17¢·1,654.1 shares
+$13INV $276 · WR 71.7%
Showing top 10 of 58

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 47% YES: Iran full airspace closure by December…