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Politics25 days left

Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
16ยข
16% implied
NO Price
84ยข
84% implied
Volume
$126.0K
1,113 trades
Smart Whales
75
of 293 traders

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

5 MARKETS ยท $295.2K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

11 YESvs64 NO
15%85%
85% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 8% YES by dollars ยท 9 YES vs 35 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 89%ยท net of hedges
+8 new YES$757+9 new NO$5.8K
$18 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer โ€” left out of momentum
0 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides โ€” all $26.3K is directional: YES $2.0KยทNO $24.3K
YES Team
Total Invested
$2.9K
Avg Win Rate
60.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$347(-11.8%)
Whales
11
S
Sticky-Closing๐Ÿฅ‡
Entry 13ยขยท14,280.3 shares
+$379INV $1.8K ยท WR 62.5%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed๐Ÿฅˆhedged
Entry 81ยขยท1,133.5 sharesยทalso $146 on NO
$-738INV $914 ยท WR 55.3%
G
Glicha๐Ÿฅ‰
Entry 14ยขยท837.8 shares
+$12INV $118 ยท WR 64.9%
9
0x93c616c1...
Entry 18ยขยท147.1 shares
$-3INV $26 ยท WR 71.4%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 12ยขยท126.9 shares
+$4INV $15 ยท WR 68.6%
G
ghorrock
Entry 14ยขยท70.9 shares
+$1INV $10 ยท WR 60.1%
B
big-bird1
Entry 19ยขยท29.9 shares
$-1INV $6 ยท WR 68.8%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 20ยขยท12.2 shares
$-1INV $2 ยท WR 79.5%
7
0x700974a3...
Entry 13ยขยท9 shares
+$0INV $1 ยท WR 81.2%
J
JordanMooneyProven
Entry 17ยขยท4.9 shares
$-0INV $1 ยท WR 86.1%
Showing top 10 of 11

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 13% YES: Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026โ€ฆ