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Politics25 days left

Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
27ยข
27% implied
NO Price
73ยข
73% implied
Volume
$77.0K
2,327 trades
Smart Whales
59
of 302 traders

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

5 MARKETS ยท $295.2K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

15 YESvs44 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 16% YES by dollars ยท 14 YES vs 14 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%ยท net of hedges
+7 new YES$87+14 new NO$6.9K
$65 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers โ€” left out of momentum
1 smart whale4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides โ€” all $16.6K is directional: YES $2.7KยทNO $13.9K
YES Team
Total Invested
$2.8K
Avg Win Rate
65.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.1K(+39.6%)
Whales
15
R
RememberAmalekProven๐Ÿฅ‡
Entry 20ยขยท10,242.2 shares
+$816INV $2.0K ยท WR 64.5%
G
GayPrideProven๐Ÿฅˆ
Entry 19ยขยท1,298 shares
+$89INV $249 ยท WR 69.6%
P
Paul.Dirac๐Ÿฅ‰
Entry 20ยขยท1,231.3 shares
+$83INV $248 ยท WR 74.3%
N
NoFear-418Proven
Entry 18ยขยท551.8 shares
+$47INV $101 ยท WR 57.5%
S
Stannis1974
Entry 21ยขยท196.1 shares
+$11INV $41 ยท WR 66.7%
F
Favorable-Soy
Entry 15ยขยท240.4 shares
+$28INV $36 ยท WR 70.0%
A
aysupernova
Entry 15ยขยท120 shares
+$15INV $18 ยท WR 64.9%
S
Serene-Technique
Entry 15ยขยท50 shares
+$6INV $8 ยท WR 73.6%
E
0xea979836...
Entry 16ยขยท31.8 shares
+$3INV $5 ยท WR 60.3%
E
Eli.copter
Entry 16ยขยท24.3 shares
+$3INV $4 ยท WR 67.9%
Showing top 10 of 15

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 25% YES: Likud win fewer than 20 seatsโ€ฆ