NoFear-418 · Polymarket wallet 0xe78b…206e

Wallet snapshot

NoFear-418 has made 206 trades on Polymarket across 95 markets, $12K in volume. Most of it is in sports (75%) and geopolitics (19%). On 83 resolved markets the win rate is 56.6%, lifetime P&L +$2,509. It holds 12 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?". Last trade: Oct 5, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?No · $294 · 91¢ → 98¢
• Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No · $286 · 89¢ → 92¢
• Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes · $257 · 62¢ → 80¢
• Israel election: will Likud lose seats?Yes · $150 · 93¢ → 93¢
• Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes · $135 · 27¢ → 45¢
• Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?No · $100 · 91¢ → 91¢
• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by December 31?No · $99 · 95¢ → 95¢
• Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes · $93 · 18¢ → 17¢
• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes · $92 · 33¢ → 31¢
• Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes · $87 · 33¢ → 41¢

Latest closed positions

• Republic of Ireland vs. Israel: Both Teams to ScoreYes · +$83 · Oct 4, 2026
• Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?No · +$4 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?Yes · +$102 · Sep 26, 2026
• Will France win on 2026-09-25?Yes · +$50 · Sep 25, 2026
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes · +$178 · Sep 3, 2026
• Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?Yes · +$624 · Sep 1, 2026
• Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes · +$502 · Jul 20, 2026

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