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Politics15 days left

Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
16¢
16% implied
NO Price
84¢
84% implied
Volume
$93.8K
2,668 trades
Smart Whales
70
of 337 traders

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

5 MARKETS · $473.2K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

20 YESvs50 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 25% YES by dollars · 19 YES vs 16 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 93%· net of hedges
+8 new YES$121+7 new NO$1.2K
$75 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $21.9K is directional: YES $5.4K·NO $16.5K
YES Team
Total Invested
$5.5K
Avg Win Rate
68.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$987(-18.1%)
Whales
20
M
mr.oziProven🥇
Entry 21¢·12,000 shares
$-603INV $2.6K · WR 71.4%
R
RememberAmalekProven🥈
Entry 20¢·10,242.2 shares
$-311INV $2.0K · WR 64.4%
G
GayPrideProven🥉
Entry 19¢·1,298 shares
$-30INV $249 · WR 69.5%
P
Paul.Dirac
Entry 20¢·1,231.3 shares
$-43INV $248 · WR 73.2%
N
NoFear-418Proven
Entry 18¢·551.8 shares
$-9INV $101 · WR 56.6%
F
Favorable-Soy
Entry 15¢·520.1 shares
+$8INV $79 · WR 71.4%
S
Stannis1974
Entry 21¢·196.1 shares
$-9INV $41 · WR 66.7%
N
neverhackme
Entry 15¢·175.9 shares
+$3INV $26 · WR 75.8%
O
ox01e607d27875e10bb09FcF3309C899a664313641
Entry 16¢·119.1 shares
+$1INV $19 · WR 76.1%
A
aysupernova
Entry 15¢·120 shares
+$2INV $18 · WR 64.9%
Showing top 10 of 20

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 32% YES: Likud win fewer than 20 seats…