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Politics1 days left

Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
17¢
17% implied
NO Price
83¢
83% implied
Volume
$224.9K
4,807 trades
Smart Whales
165
of 651 traders · 3 on both sides

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

21 MARKETS · $2.49M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

48 YESvs120 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 35% YES by dollars · 25 YES vs 35 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 80%· net of hedges
+23 new YES$1.1K+41 new NO$4.0K
$155 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales19 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$516 of $21.8K is hedged across different prices by 3 wallets. True directional: YES $7.5K·NO $13.8K
YES Team
Total Invested
$10.9K
Avg Win Rate
64.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$281(-2.6%)
Whales
48
I
InterestingUserProven🥇
Entry 30¢·6,929.3 shares
$-918INV $2.1K · WR 63.5%
S
seal7Proven🥈
Entry 14¢·9,777.2 shares
+$197INV $1.4K · WR 58.8%
S
sweetj🥉
Entry 37¢·2,791.6 shares
$-574INV $1.0K · WR 75.2%
F
flawfence
Entry 10¢·5,163 shares
+$316INV $536 · WR 55.0%
O
oneofthepplhedged
Entry 36¢·1,375.1 shares·also $257 on NO
$-275INV $502 · WR 63.2%
T
tunatylerProven
Entry 13¢·3,814.3 shares
+$129INV $500 · WR 58.9%
R
Rr55Proven
Entry 24¢·1,900 shares
$-147INV $461 · WR 73.7%
-
-TheRage-
Entry 13¢·2,219.9 shares
+$67INV $299 · WR 59.5%
T
Tenebrus7Proven
Entry 12¢·2,000 shares
+$80INV $250 · WR 74.2%
D
donthackme
Entry 3¢·5,723.7 shares
+$766INV $179 · WR 87.6%
Showing top 10 of 48

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 29% YES: Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place…