Politics13 days left
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YES Price
54¢
54% implied
NO Price
46¢
46% implied
Volume
$354.3K
6,254 trades
Smart Whales
182
of 970 traders · 2 on both sides
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
20 MARKETS · $2.63M MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
0¢+33¢$1.35M50/103Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+33¢0¢
$1.35M50/103
Will Tarcisio de Freitas finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
0¢+34¢$16.8K18/35Will Tarcisio de Freitas finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+34¢0¢
$16.8K18/35
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
0¢+26¢$56.5K20/57Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+26¢0¢
$56.5K20/57
Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
0¢+37¢$15.8K19/32Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+37¢0¢
$15.8K19/32
Will Fernando Haddad finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
0¢+39¢$23.2K23/36Will Fernando Haddad finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+39¢0¢
$23.2K23/36
Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
0¢+31¢$20.8K15/33Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+31¢0¢
$20.8K15/33
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
0¢+31¢$46.2K17/37Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+31¢0¢
$46.2K17/37
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
0¢+38¢$104.2K24/39Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+38¢0¢
$104.2K24/39
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election←
54¢−20¢$354.3K62/122Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election←−20¢54¢
$354.3K62/122
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
0¢+24¢$78.0K19/59Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+24¢0¢
$78.0K19/59
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
13¢+19¢$139.8K42/89Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+19¢13¢
$139.8K42/89
Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
1¢+19¢$65.9K17/69Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+19¢1¢
$65.9K17/69
Will Camilo Santana finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
0¢+35¢$13.1K18/33Will Camilo Santana finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+35¢0¢
$13.1K18/33
Will Geraldo Alckmin finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
0¢+38¢$11.8K20/33Will Geraldo Alckmin finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+38¢0¢
$11.8K20/33
Will Aldo Rebelo finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
0¢+63¢$9.9K29/17Will Aldo Rebelo finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+63¢0¢
$9.9K29/17
Will Eduardo Leite finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
0¢+62¢$9.4K29/18Will Eduardo Leite finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+62¢0¢
$9.4K29/18
Will Tereza Cristina finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
0¢+80¢$4.1K32/8Will Tereza Cristina finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+80¢0¢
$4.1K32/8
Will Helder Barbalho finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
0¢+78¢$3.5K32/9Will Helder Barbalho finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+78¢0¢
$3.5K32/9
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
61 YESvs123 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 20% YES by dollars · 34 YES vs 46 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 74%· net of hedges
+15 new YES$4.7K+25 new NO$2.1K
$1.2K of this was bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale6 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$207 of $23.8K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $4.8K·NO $18.8KYES Team
Total Invested
$9.6K
Avg Win Rate
70.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.7K(+17.6%)
Whales
61
1
1mDream🥇hedged
Entry 52¢·3,891 shares·also $992 on NO
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
78.6%
Position P&L
+$76
+$76INV $2.0K · WR 78.6%
S
Serpentine-Majority🥈
Entry 61¢·2,923.5 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
77.8%
Position P&L
$-230
$-230INV $1.8K · WR 77.8%
D
disputequant🥉
Entry 78¢·946.7 shares
Invested
$742
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
$-236
$-236INV $742 · WR 60.3%
C
Careful-Bunchhedged
Entry 88¢·829.4 shares·also $82 on NO
Invested
$726
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-282
$-282INV $726 · WR 55.3%
F
Fresh-Criminal
Entry 32¢·2,213.2 shares
Invested
$708
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
+$476
+$476INV $708 · WR 61.4%
K
keyah
Entry 57¢·894.1 shares
Invested
$509
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $509 · WR 55.2%
P
Prdz
Entry 42¢·929.9 shares
Invested
$390
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
+$107
+$107INV $390 · WR 55.5%
R
Rr55
Entry 39¢·855.1 shares
Invested
$333
Win Rate
73.8%
Position P&L
+$125
+$125INV $333 · WR 73.8%
I
itxsaw2
Entry 47¢·450 shares
Invested
$213
Win Rate
80.8%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $213 · WR 80.8%
H
henribloc
Entry 65¢·312.5 shares
Invested
$203
Win Rate
74.0%
Position P&L
$-36
$-36INV $203 · WR 74.0%
Showing top 10 of 61
NO Team
Total Invested
$32.4K
Avg Win Rate
67.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$4.2K(-12.9%)
Whales
123
S
seal7🥇
Entry 54¢·14,898.8 shares
Invested
$8.0K
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
$-1065
$-1065INV $8.0K · WR 59.5%
S
Scalpoor🥈
Entry 67¢·5,650 shares
Invested
$3.8K
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-1148
$-1148INV $3.8K · WR 71.9%
Z
zumbizera10🥉
Entry 71¢·3,251.1 shares
Invested
$2.3K
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
$-788
$-788INV $2.3K · WR 58.6%
J
JustClickeverywhere
Entry 57¢·2,239.9 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
78.6%
Position P&L
$-237
$-237INV $1.3K · WR 78.6%
R
Ryxon21
Entry 51¢·2,379.3 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
$-108
$-108INV $1.2K · WR 69.7%
1
1mDreamhedged
Entry 44¢·2,267.2 shares·also $2.0K on YES
Invested
$992
Win Rate
78.6%
Position P&L
+$62
+$62INV $992 · WR 78.6%
E
e46m3
Entry 71¢·1,261.5 shares
Invested
$898
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-311
$-311INV $898 · WR 79.2%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 57¢·1,373.2 shares
Invested
$785
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-147
$-147INV $785 · WR 88.7%
H
highstakebet
Entry 70¢·880.3 shares
Invested
$613
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-204
$-204INV $613 · WR 85.8%
L
LulaVaiPerder
Entry 31¢·1,747.5 shares
Invested
$540
Win Rate
76.9%
Position P&L
+$273
+$273INV $540 · WR 76.9%
Showing top 10 of 123
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