YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$221.0K
4,193 trades
Smart Whales
105
of 651 traders
February 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
7 MARKETS · $222.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026←
0¢+32¢$221.0K34/71by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026←+32¢0¢
$221.0K34/71
by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in October 2026
23¢−23¢$1640/1by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in October 2026−23¢23¢
$1640/1
by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in October 2026
29¢—$50/0by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in October 2026—29¢
$50/0
by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in October 2026
44¢—$950/0by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in October 2026—44¢
$950/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
34 YESvs71 NO
32%68%
68% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$16.3K
Avg Win Rate
68.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$15.8K(-96.9%)
Whales
34
R
russell110320🥇
Entry 73¢·9,768.6 shares
Invested
$7.1K
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
$-7083
$-7083INV $7.1K · WR 67.5%
V
Varyag🥈
Entry 58¢·8,351.2 shares
Invested
$4.9K
Win Rate
69.0%
Position P&L
$-4878
$-4878INV $4.9K · WR 69.0%
M
mayonez13🥉
Entry 100¢·1,640 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
$-1640
$-1640INV $1.6K · WR 59.1%
D
devoteeOfBeshaba
Entry 24¢·5,053.2 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-1213
$-1213INV $1.2K · WR 86.2%
R
Rr55◆Proven
Entry 37¢·1,321 shares
Invested
$485
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
$-484
$-484INV $485 · WR 73.2%
D
Drunken-Mentathedged
Entry 18¢·2,304.1 shares·also $274 on NO
Invested
$425
Win Rate
75.4%
Position P&L
$-424
$-424INV $425 · WR 75.4%
L
LetTheGoodTimesRoll
Entry 18¢·213.1 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-39
$-39INV $39 · WR 56.8%
Showing top 7 of 34
NO Team
Total Invested
$11.6K
Avg Win Rate
77.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$10.3K(+89.2%)
Whales
71
A
aenews2◆Proven🥇
Entry 92¢·2,954.7 shares
Invested
$2.7K
Win Rate
74.6%
Position P&L
+$228
+$228INV $2.7K · WR 74.6%
I
influenz.eth🥈
Entry 41¢·6,355.8 shares
Invested
$2.6K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$3778
+$3778INV $2.6K · WR 85.8%
M
melchior1248🥉
Entry 53¢·2,569.7 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$1208
+$1208INV $1.4K · WR 69.2%
R
rated
Entry 60¢·1,235.7 shares
Invested
$742
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$493
+$493INV $742 · WR 87.7%
I
imnice
Entry 21¢·3,307.9 shares
Invested
$706
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
+$2600
+$2600INV $706 · WR 75.0%
W
wokerjoesleeper
Entry 47¢·928.1 shares
Invested
$435
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$493
+$493INV $435 · WR 87.6%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 81¢·488.8 shares
Invested
$396
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$92
+$92INV $396 · WR 57.7%
S
Scornful-Conductor
Entry 48¢·747.1 shares
Invested
$360
Win Rate
86.7%
Position P&L
+$387
+$387INV $360 · WR 86.7%
D
Drunken-Mentathedged
Entry 88¢·311 shares·also $425 on YES
Invested
$274
Win Rate
75.4%
Position P&L
+$37
+$37INV $274 · WR 75.4%
M
MKB
Entry 121¢·185.4 shares
Invested
$224
Win Rate
69.3%
Position P&L
$-38
$-38INV $224 · WR 69.3%
Showing top 10 of 71
Smart Whale Trades
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