Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$159.7K
4,333 trades
Smart Whales
62
of 1,860 traders · 1 on both sides
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
5 MARKETS · $1.13M MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026←
0¢+33¢$159.7K21/42Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026←+33¢0¢
$159.7K21/42
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026
17¢+24¢$420.6K32/47Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026+24¢17¢
$420.6K32/47
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026
52¢−15¢$189.4K23/39Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026−15¢52¢
$189.4K23/39
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
21 YESvs42 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 52% YES by dollars · 9 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$0 of $2.2K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $1.2K·NO $1.1KYES Team
Total Invested
$2.2K
Avg Win Rate
64.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.2K(-98.0%)
Whales
21
G
gopfan2◆Proven🥇
Entry 13¢·5,181.6 shares
Invested
$668
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-668
$-668INV $668 · WR 60.2%
4
0x4e25605f...◆Proven🥈
Entry 15¢·2,964.1 shares
Invested
$458
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
$-458
$-458INV $458 · WR 69.4%
W
Worthy-Lament🥉hedged
Entry 90¢·502.4 shares·also $70 on NO
Invested
$454
Win Rate
61.6%
Position P&L
$-454
$-454INV $454 · WR 61.6%
D
DEGENKHANhedged
Entry 156¢·280 shares·also $25 on NO
Invested
$438
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
$-438
$-438INV $438 · WR 66.6%
T
tttt123hedged
Entry 95¢·123 shares·also $19 on NO
Invested
$117
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-117
$-117INV $117 · WR 69.2%
M
MagicCabelohedged
Entry 13¢·92.2 shares·also $75 on NO
Invested
$12
Win Rate
70.8%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $12 · WR 70.8%
Q
quiddy
Entry 50¢·22.2 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
76.3%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $11 · WR 76.3%
P
pressureconfuse
Entry 11¢·52.5 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $6 · WR 74.1%
H
huyewell
Entry 0¢·3,910 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $5 · WR 56.5%
J
Jussihop
Entry 22¢·22.6 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 · WR 59.4%
Showing top 10 of 21
NO Team
Total Invested
$11.5K
Avg Win Rate
67.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$3.2K(+28.1%)
Whales
42
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥇
Entry 87¢·7,120 shares
Invested
$6.2K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$914
+$914INV $6.2K · WR 57.7%
H
hetacz◆Proven🥈
Entry 94¢·2,388.6 shares
Invested
$2.3K
Win Rate
81.6%
Position P&L
+$134
+$134INV $2.3K · WR 81.6%
E
Elias.Thornwell🥉hedged
Entry 99¢·895.4 shares·also $0 on YES
Invested
$888
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $888 · WR 68.2%
I
influenz.eth
Entry 55¢·1,508.5 shares
Invested
$835
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$673
+$673INV $835 · WR 85.8%
R
rated
Entry 65¢·848.3 shares
Invested
$550
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$298
+$298INV $550 · WR 87.7%
5
5atka
Entry 79¢·188.1 shares
Invested
$149
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $149 · WR 57.1%
W
wokerjoesleeper
Entry 47¢·204.1 shares
Invested
$96
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$108
+$108INV $96 · WR 87.6%
M
MagicCabelohedged
Entry 81¢·92.2 shares·also $12 on YES
Invested
$75
Win Rate
70.8%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $75 · WR 70.8%
W
Worthy-Lamenthedged
Entry 14¢·502.4 shares·also $454 on YES
Invested
$70
Win Rate
61.6%
Position P&L
+$433
+$433INV $70 · WR 61.6%
K
ksquare
Entry 95¢·72 shares
Invested
$68
Win Rate
78.4%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $68 · WR 78.4%
Showing top 10 of 42
Smart Whale Trades
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