YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$228.4K
3,410 trades
Smart Whales
112
of 738 traders
January 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
7 MARKETS · $230.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026←
0¢+16¢$228.4K18/94by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026←+16¢0¢
$228.4K18/94
by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in October 2026
25¢−25¢$1640/1by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in October 2026−25¢25¢
$1640/1
by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in October 2026
33¢—$50/0by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in October 2026—33¢
$50/0
by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in October 2026
44¢—$950/0by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in October 2026—44¢
$950/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
18 YESvs94 NO
16%84%
84% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$946
Avg Win Rate
59.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$707(-74.7%)
Whales
18
C
Crazykekbr🥇hedged
Entry 69¢·671.3 shares·also $98 on NO
Invested
$462
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
$-462
$-462INV $462 · WR 57.4%
B
bjhgfc🥈
Entry 98¢·190.2 shares
Invested
$186
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
$-186
$-186INV $186 · WR 61.5%
D
Drunken-Mentat🥉
Entry 3¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
75.4%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $30 · WR 75.4%
O
okakokakhedged
Entry 14¢·200 shares·also $112 on NO
Invested
$28
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-28
$-28INV $28 · WR 57.1%
F
Forfunzies
Entry 1¢·150 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 68.4%
Showing top 5 of 18
NO Team
Total Invested
$12.5K
Avg Win Rate
76.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$29.6K(+236.1%)
Whales
94
R
Rr55◆Proven🥇
Entry 94¢·5,541.5 shares
Invested
$5.2K
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
+$356
+$356INV $5.2K · WR 73.2%
I
influenz.eth🥈
Entry 16¢·13,595.1 shares
Invested
$2.2K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$11353
+$11353INV $2.2K · WR 85.8%
R
rated🥉
Entry 33¢·6,134.7 shares
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$4115
+$4115INV $2.0K · WR 87.7%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 96¢·900 shares
Invested
$861
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $861 · WR 57.7%
R
russell110320
Entry 10¢·7,773.6 shares
Invested
$775
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
+$6998
+$6998INV $775 · WR 67.5%
P
paspor
Entry 11¢·1,637.3 shares
Invested
$174
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$1464
+$1464INV $174 · WR 85.8%
P
products
Entry 19¢·932.5 shares
Invested
$173
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$760
+$760INV $173 · WR 86.6%
O
okakokakhedged
Entry 56¢·200 shares·also $28 on YES
Invested
$112
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$88
+$88INV $112 · WR 57.1%
C
Crazykekbrhedged
Entry 64¢·154.3 shares·also $462 on YES
Invested
$98
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
+$56
+$56INV $98 · WR 57.4%
D
DavidCook6849
Entry 23¢·212 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
+$164
+$164INV $48 · WR 61.7%
Showing top 10 of 94
Smart Whale Trades
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