YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$124.5K
2,584 trades
Smart Whales
93
of 648 traders
January 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
7 MARKETS · $126.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
by less than 1.00ºC in January 2026←
0¢+17¢$124.5K16/77by less than 1.00ºC in January 2026←+17¢0¢
$124.5K16/77
by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in October 2026
25¢−25¢$1640/1by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in October 2026−25¢25¢
$1640/1
by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in October 2026
33¢—$50/0by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in October 2026—33¢
$50/0
by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in October 2026
44¢—$950/0by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in October 2026—44¢
$950/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
16 YESvs77 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$659
Avg Win Rate
55.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$441(-66.9%)
Whales
16
G
gyyuy🥇hedged
Entry 100¢·440 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$439
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
$-439
$-439INV $439 · WR 55.1%
F
FrankWilmot🥈
Entry 1¢·150 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
80.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 80.0%
R
Roasted-Consignment🥉
Entry 1¢·111 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
80.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 80.3%
Showing top 3 of 16
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.9K
Avg Win Rate
79.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$28.9K(+487.3%)
Whales
77
R
rated🥇
Entry 27¢·6,134.5 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$4490
+$4490INV $1.6K · WR 87.7%
R
Rr55◆Proven🥈
Entry 88¢·1,738.6 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
+$205
+$205INV $1.5K · WR 73.2%
R
russell110320🥉
Entry 17¢·5,746.8 shares
Invested
$990
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
+$4757
+$4757INV $990 · WR 67.5%
I
influenz.eth
Entry 6¢·12,742.3 shares
Invested
$744
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$11998
+$11998INV $744 · WR 85.8%
P
products
Entry 23¢·1,006.5 shares
Invested
$227
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$779
+$779INV $227 · WR 86.6%
P
paspor
Entry 11¢·1,637.3 shares
Invested
$178
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$1460
+$1460INV $178 · WR 85.8%
M
MKB
Entry 40¢·410.7 shares
Invested
$165
Win Rate
69.3%
Position P&L
+$245
+$245INV $165 · WR 69.3%
W
wokerjoesleeper
Entry 6¢·2,045.9 shares
Invested
$131
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$1915
+$1915INV $131 · WR 87.6%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 1¢·900 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$895
+$895INV $5 · WR 57.7%
I
itsjustcheddar
Entry 6¢·70.1 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
80.8%
Position P&L
+$66
+$66INV $4 · WR 80.8%
Showing top 10 of 77
Smart Whale Trades
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