Stable-Armament · Polymarket wallet 0xf559…f462

Wallet snapshot

Stable-Armament has made 11,075 trades on Polymarket across 768 markets, $14M in volume. Most of it is in sports (82%) and geopolitics (6%). On 730 resolved markets the win rate is 54.9%, lifetime P&L -$402K. It holds 15 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?". Last trade: Oct 18, 2026.

Largest open positions

• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes · $50K · 77¢ → 78¢
• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes · $18K · 32¢ → 30¢
• Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $8,943 · 6¢ → 5¢
• Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $3,650 · 3¢ → 3¢
• Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $3,210 · 2¢ → 2¢
• Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes · $3,015 · 34¢ → 33¢
• Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $2,881 · 1¢ → 1¢
• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $1,084 · 15¢ → 15¢
• Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $1,014 · 1¢ → 1¢
• Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $830 · 2¢ → 3¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No · +$32K · Oct 18, 2026
• Texans vs. JaguarsYes · +$14K · Oct 18, 2026
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · +$4,341 · Oct 18, 2026
• Washington vs. PurdueYes · +$14K · Oct 17, 2026
• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes · -$3,243 · Oct 16, 2026
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · -$1,467 · Oct 16, 2026
• Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.