Circular-Vanity · Polymarket wallet 0xf4ad…0ee8

Wallet snapshot

Circular-Vanity has made 50 trades on Polymarket across 27 markets, $853 in volume. Most of it is in politics (33%) and tech (26%). On 20 resolved markets the win rate is 65%. It holds 6 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?". Last trade: Apr 8, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No · $5 · 95¢ → 98¢
• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · $5 · 54¢ → 49¢
• Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No · $3 · 99¢ → 99¢
• Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No · $3 · 98¢ → 98¢
• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $1 · 18¢ → 9¢
• Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · $0 · 5¢ → 0¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes · +$26 · Sep 19, 2026
• Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?No · +$0 · Apr 8, 2026
• Trump out as President by March 31?No · +$2 · Apr 8, 2026
• Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?No · +$1 · Feb 11, 2026
• Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?Yes · -$3 · Jan 26, 2026
• Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · +$3 · Jan 7, 2026
• Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?No · +$0 · Jan 7, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.