Raidloner · Polymarket wallet 0xf240…f825

Wallet snapshot

Raidloner has made 2,265 trades on Polymarket across 656 markets, $89K in volume. Most of it is in politics (64%) and geopolitics (16%). On 621 resolved markets the win rate is 60.9%, lifetime P&L +$685. It holds 32 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $297 · 90¢ → 99¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $264 · 85¢ → 98¢
• Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?No · $206 · 95¢ → 98¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $182 · 76¢ → 96¢
• Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?No · $153 · 94¢ → 96¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $149 · 90¢ → 99¢
• Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No · $103 · 91¢ → 94¢
• Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?No · $103 · 96¢ → 99¢
• Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?No · $102 · 95¢ → 97¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $99 · 98¢ → 99¢

Latest closed positions

• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Oct 12, 2026
• Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?No · +$9 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will Trump say "Sucker" in September?No · +$1 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?No · +$1 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will Trump say "Epstein" in September?No · +$3 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No · +$2 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will Trump say "China Virus" in September?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.