richsmith · Polymarket wallet 0xf208…5eef

Wallet snapshot

richsmith has made 1,781 trades on Polymarket across 294 markets, $295K in volume. Most of it is in politics (27%) and economics (27%). On 285 resolved markets the win rate is 69.5%, lifetime P&L -$4,375. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Anthropic IPO before 2027?". Last trade: Nov 4, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes · $4 · 75¢ → 91¢
• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · $0 · 76¢ → 72¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · +$417 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes · +$596 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes · +$767 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?No · -$302 · Oct 31, 2026
• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · -$971 · Oct 27, 2026
• Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes · +$2 · Oct 27, 2026
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No · +$1,379 · Sep 30, 2026
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · -$4 · Sep 23, 2026
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes · -$1 · Sep 23, 2026
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · +$244 · Sep 23, 2026

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