Secondary-Shock · Polymarket wallet 0xf0f8…fcf6

72.2% win rate · 241 resolved markets · 0xf0f8711f85b0ba0e1b1a2dea56b560b69a6afcf6

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Wallet snapshot

Secondary-Shock has made 718 trades on Polymarket across 270 markets, $16K in volume. Most of it is in politics (20%) and geopolitics (10%). On 241 resolved markets the win rate is 72.2%. It holds 32 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?". Last trade: Sep 17, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes · $988 · 62¢ → 96¢
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?No · $540 · 78¢ → 100¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes · $311 · 64¢ → 72¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No · $250 · 33¢ → 28¢
Will Fiona Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?Yes · $175 · 65¢ → 96¢
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No · $102 · 96¢ → 98¢
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?No · $102 · 97¢ → 99¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $102 · 96¢ → 98¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?No · $100 · 98¢ → 98¢
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?No · $100 · 96¢ → 96¢

Latest closed positions

Will Francois Hollande win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?No · +$0 · Oct 11, 2026
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?No · +$3 · Oct 5, 2026
Will Mateus Simões win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?No · +$3 · Oct 5, 2026
Will Gabriel Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?No · +$3 · Oct 5, 2026
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · +$0 · Oct 5, 2026
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · +$0 · Oct 5, 2026

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