Politics22 days left
Will Fiona Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?
YES Price
96¢
96% implied
NO Price
4¢
4% implied
Volume
$12.3K
543 trades
Smart Whales
31
of 136 traders · 1 on both sides
California Lieutenant Governor Election Winner
12 MARKETS · $31.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs24 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 93% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 30% of the money is not a bet
$237 of $779 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $503·NO $40YES Team
Total Invested
$1.2K
Avg Win Rate
73.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$114(+9.4%)
Whales
8
M
mrworldwide◆Proven🥇
Entry 92¢·632.2 shares
Invested
$584
Win Rate
76.3%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $584 · WR 76.3%
I
i2dt◆Proven🥈
Entry 92¢·471.6 shares
Invested
$435
Win Rate
70.2%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $435 · WR 70.2%
S
Secondary-Shock🥉hedged
Entry 65¢·182 shares·also $141 on NO
Invested
$118
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$56
+$56INV $118 · WR 72.2%
P
PeterStuyvesant
Entry 96¢·60 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
71.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $58 · WR 71.2%
L
Live-Aunt
Entry 93¢·10.8 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $10 · WR 56.5%
T
Tukituku
Entry 2¢·25.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
64.5%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $1 · WR 64.5%
Showing top 6 of 8
NO Team
Total Invested
$725
Avg Win Rate
73.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$581(-80.2%)
Whales
24
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥇
Entry 55¢·306.8 shares
Invested
$170
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-156
$-156INV $170 · WR 57.7%
S
Secondary-Shock🥈hedged
Entry 32¢·442 shares·also $118 on YES
Invested
$141
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-122
$-122INV $141 · WR 72.2%
P
plainfolder🥉
Entry 50¢·220 shares
Invested
$110
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-100
$-100INV $110 · WR 86.0%
B
balthazar
Entry 39¢·129.1 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-45
$-45INV $51 · WR 72.2%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 45¢·80 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-33
$-33INV $36 · WR 89.3%
P
products
Entry 50¢·52 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $26 · WR 86.6%
N
northdrawer
Entry 32¢·75 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $24 · WR 87.7%
E
e46m3
Entry 34¢·60.1 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $21 · WR 79.6%
L
lulutrader
Entry 55¢·26.7 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $15 · WR 62.6%
A
a5tthsyuo3c
Entry 66¢·20 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
88.4%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $13 · WR 88.4%
Showing top 10 of 24
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