ethanhsiung · Polymarket wallet 0xec97…2fbd

Wallet snapshot

ethanhsiung has made 502 trades on Polymarket across 258 markets, $3,473 in volume. Most of it is in sports (30%) and politics (24%). On 231 resolved markets the win rate is 81.4%, lifetime P&L -$14. It holds 15 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?". Last trade: Oct 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $313 · 96¢ → 98¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $121 · 91¢ → 99¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo · $70 · 93¢ → 92¢
• Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No · $22 · 87¢ → 96¢
• Gemini 4.0 released by October 12, 2026?No · $12 · 96¢ → 98¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $6 · 85¢ → 83¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · $3 · 85¢ → 83¢
• Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No · $2 · 94¢ → 98¢
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · $1 · 64¢ → 88¢
• Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin <66%?No · $1 · 84¢ → 96¢

Latest closed positions

• Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETNo · +$7 · Oct 11, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETNo · +$4 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No · $0 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No · +$2 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.