Friendly-Heartbeat · Polymarket wallet 0xec04…bfe0

Wallet snapshot

Friendly-Heartbeat has made 104 trades on Polymarket across 62 markets, $2,405 in volume. Most of it is in crypto (21%) and geopolitics (19%). On 53 resolved markets the win rate is 94.3%, lifetime P&L +$6. It holds 5 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?". Last trade: Sep 17, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No · $98 · 98¢ → 98¢
• Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No · $12 · 100¢ → 100¢
• Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · $2 · 2¢ → 2¢
• Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes · $2 · 95¢ → 98¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes · $1 · 34¢ → 17¢

Latest closed positions

• Israel closes its airspace by August 15?No · +$0 · Aug 11, 2026
• Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?No · +$0 · Jul 31, 2026
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No · +$0 · Jul 25, 2026
• US x Iran Effective Ceasfire by July 18?No · +$0 · Jul 19, 2026
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes · +$0 · Jul 19, 2026
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No · +$0 · Jul 17, 2026
• S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 13?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.